Newcastle – Aston Villa
Premier League · October 17, 2026
Newcastle
0–1
Aston Villa
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Newcastle 44%
X · 25%
2 · Aston Villa 31%
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Both teams to score | 64% |
| Expected goals | 1.73 – 1.44 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
October 17, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.