Certor

Newcastle – Burnley

Premier League · September 30, 2023

Newcastle 2–0 Burnley

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Newcastle 71% X · 18% 2 · Burnley 11%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals2.09 – 0.68
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 30, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.