Certor

Newcastle – Fulham

Premier League · February 1, 2025

Newcastle 1–2 Fulham

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Newcastle 49% X · 24% 2 · Fulham 27%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.81 – 1.28
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 1, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.