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Newcastle – Hull

Premier League · September 19, 2026

Newcastle 2–1 Hull

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Newcastle 37% X · 31% 2 · Hull 32%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.19 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 19, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.