Newcastle – Liverpool
Premier League · August 23, 2026
Newcastle
2–2
Liverpool
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Newcastle 35%
X · 25%
2 · Liverpool 40%
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Both teams to score | 66% |
| Expected goals | 1.59 – 1.71 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
August 23, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.