Certor

Newcastle – Luton

Premier League · February 3, 2024

Newcastle 4–4 Luton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Newcastle 71% X · 16% 2 · Luton 13%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals2.47 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 30, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.