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Newcastle – Man City

Premier League · January 13, 2024

Newcastle 2–3 Man City

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Newcastle 24% X · 22% 2 · Man City 54%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.15 – 1.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 12, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.