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Newcastle – Sheffield United

Premier League · April 27, 2024

Newcastle 5–1 Sheffield United

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Newcastle 80% X · 12% 2 · Sheffield United 8%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals3.08 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 27, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.