Certor

Newcastle – West Ham

Premier League · May 17, 2026

Newcastle 3–1 West Ham

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Newcastle 59% X · 23% 2 · West Ham 18%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals2.05 – 1.09
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 17, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.