Certor

Newcastle – Wolves

Premier League · January 15, 2025

Newcastle 3–0 Wolves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Newcastle 62% X · 21% 2 · Wolves 17%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals2.20 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 14, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.