Certor

Nice – Auxerre

Ligue 1 · March 14, 2025

Nice 1–1 Auxerre

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nice 57% X · 24% 2 · Auxerre 19%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.86 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 14, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.