Certor

Nice – Auxerre

Ligue 1 · August 23, 2025

Nice 3–1 Auxerre

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nice 56% X · 24% 2 · Auxerre 20%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.78 – 0.98
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.