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Nice – Lorient

Ligue 1 · February 22, 2026

Nice 3–3 Lorient

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nice 56% X · 23% 2 · Lorient 21%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.85 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.