Certor

Nice – Lyon

Ligue 1 · October 18, 2025

Nice 3–2 Lyon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nice 43% X · 24% 2 · Lyon 33%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.65 – 1.42
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.