Certor

Nice – Marseille

Ligue 1 · November 21, 2025

Nice 1–5 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nice 36% X · 26% 2 · Marseille 38%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.39 – 1.42
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 21, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.