Certor

Nice – Strasbourg

Ligue 1 · January 3, 2026

Nice 1–1 Strasbourg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nice 47% X · 25% 2 · Strasbourg 28%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.55 – 1.13
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 2, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.