Certor

Nijmegen – Heerenveen

Eredivisie · March 22, 2026

Nijmegen 2–2 Heerenveen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nijmegen 60% X · 20% 2 · Heerenveen 20%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams to score67%
Expected goals2.35 – 1.32
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 21, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.