Certor

Nijmegen – Utrecht

Eredivisie · September 23, 2023

Nijmegen 3–0 Utrecht

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nijmegen 35% X · 29% 2 · Utrecht 36%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.32 – 1.34
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.