Certor

Nott'm Forest – Man United

Premier League · November 1, 2025

Nott'm Forest 2–2 Man United

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nott'm Forest 33% X · 26% 2 · Man United 41%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.30 – 1.48
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 1, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.