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Osasuna – Ath Madrid

La Liga · May 12, 2026

Osasuna 1–2 Ath Madrid

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Osasuna 24% X · 27% 2 · Ath Madrid 49%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals0.94 – 1.47
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 8, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.