Certor

Paderborn – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · September 20, 2026

Paderborn 3–1 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paderborn 15% X · 26% 2 · Hoffenheim 59%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals0.72 – 1.66
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.