Certor

Paris FC – Lyon

Ligue 1 · September 12, 2026

Paris FC 0–0 Lyon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris FC 38% X · 26% 2 · Lyon 36%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.44 – 1.40
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 12, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.