Certor

Paris FC – Metz

Ligue 1 · August 31, 2025

Paris FC 3–2 Metz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris FC 54% X · 23% 2 · Metz 23%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.92 – 1.19
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 29, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.