Certor

Paris FC – Nice

Ligue 1 · March 1, 2026

Paris FC 1–0 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris FC 32% X · 27% 2 · Nice 41%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.20 – 1.40
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 27, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.