Certor

Paris FC – Nice

Ligue 1 · August 30, 2026

Paris FC 3–0 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris FC 41% X · 28% 2 · Nice 31%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.38 – 1.16
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 30, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.