Certor

Paris FC – Rennes

Ligue 1 · October 18, 2026

Paris FC 4–3 Rennes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris FC 40% X · 27% 2 · Rennes 33%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.39 – 1.26
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.