Certor

Paris SG – Brest

Ligue 1 · May 10, 2026

Paris SG 1–0 Brest

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 76% X · 15% 2 · Brest 9%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals2.76 – 0.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.