Certor

Paris SG – Le Mans

Ligue 1 · October 10, 2026

Paris SG 3–1 Le Mans

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 77% X · 13% 2 · Le Mans 10%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals3.12 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.