Certor

Paris SG – Lille

Ligue 1 · February 10, 2024

Paris SG 3–1 Lille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 53% X · 25% 2 · Lille 22%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.75 – 1.06
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 9, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.