Certor

Paris SG – Lyon

Ligue 1 · December 15, 2024

Paris SG 3–1 Lyon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 65% X · 18% 2 · Lyon 17%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams to score67%
Expected goals2.54 – 1.26
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.