Paris SG – Lyon
Ligue 1 · April 19, 2026
Paris SG
1–2
Lyon
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Paris SG 68%
X · 18%
2 · Lyon 14%
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Expected goals | 2.55 – 1.10 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 17, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.