Certor

Paris SG – Lyon

Ligue 1 · October 26, 2026

Paris SG 2–0 Lyon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 66% X · 18% 2 · Lyon 16%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals2.44 – 1.13
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 26, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.