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Paris SG – Marseille

Ligue 1 · February 8, 2026

Paris SG 5–0 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 61% X · 20% 2 · Marseille 19%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals2.24 – 1.20
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.