Paris SG – Metz
Ligue 1 · February 21, 2026
Paris SG
3–0
Metz
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Paris SG 88%
X · 8%
2 · Metz 4%
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Expected goals | 3.50 – 0.66 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 20, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.