Certor

Paris SG – Monaco

Ligue 1 · November 24, 2023

Paris SG 5–2 Monaco

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 63% X · 20% 2 · Monaco 17%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals2.39 – 1.20
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 24, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.