Certor

Paris SG – Monaco

Ligue 1 · March 6, 2026

Paris SG 1–3 Monaco

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 68% X · 17% 2 · Monaco 15%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals2.53 – 1.12
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.