Certor

Paris SG – Nice

Ligue 1 · September 15, 2023

Paris SG 2–3 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 64% X · 21% 2 · Nice 15%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals2.09 – 0.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.