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Paris SG – Paris FC

Ligue 1 · January 4, 2026

Paris SG 2–1 Paris FC

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 79% X · 13% 2 · Paris FC 8%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals2.82 – 0.78
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 2, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.