Certor

Paris SG – Strasbourg

Ligue 1 · October 17, 2025

Paris SG 3–3 Strasbourg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 71% X · 17% 2 · Strasbourg 12%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals2.48 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.