Certor

Paris SG – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · May 12, 2024

Paris SG 1–3 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Paris SG 72% X · 17% 2 · Toulouse 11%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals2.54 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.