Paris SG – Toulouse
Ligue 1 · April 3, 2026
Paris SG
3–1
Toulouse
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Paris SG 70%
X · 18%
2 · Toulouse 12%
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Expected goals | 2.33 – 0.88 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 3, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.