Certor

Parma – Bologna

Serie A · February 22, 2025

Parma 2–0 Bologna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Parma 25% X · 26% 2 · Bologna 49%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.17 – 1.70
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.