Certor

Parma – Cagliari

Serie A · September 30, 2024

Parma 2–3 Cagliari

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Parma 43% X · 26% 2 · Cagliari 31%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.62 – 1.34
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 28, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.