Certor

Parma – Fiorentina

Serie A · August 17, 2024

Parma 1–1 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Parma 21% X · 23% 2 · Fiorentina 56%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.13 – 1.95
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 17, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.