Certor

Parma – Fiorentina

Serie A · December 27, 2025

Parma 1–0 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Parma 28% X · 28% 2 · Fiorentina 44%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.09 – 1.44
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 27, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.