Certor

Parma – Genoa

Serie A · November 4, 2024

Parma 0–1 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Parma 41% X · 28% 2 · Genoa 31%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.44 – 1.23
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 2, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.