Certor

Parma – Genoa

Serie A · September 20, 2026

Parma 2–1 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Parma 34% X · 31% 2 · Genoa 35%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals1.02 – 1.03
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.