Certor

Parma – Monza

Serie A · September 6, 2026

Parma 1–1 Monza

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Parma 42% X · 30% 2 · Monza 28%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.19 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.