Certor

Parma – Roma

Serie A · February 16, 2025

Parma 0–1 Roma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Parma 22% X · 24% 2 · Roma 54%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.17 – 1.91
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.