Certor

Parma – Roma

Serie A · May 10, 2026

Parma 2–3 Roma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Parma 21% X · 28% 2 · Roma 51%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals0.88 – 1.51
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 9, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.